Direxion Shares Etf Performance

AIBD Etf   9.00  0.07  0.77%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of -2.21, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Direxion Shares are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Direxion Shares is expected to outperform it.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Direxion Shares ETF are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain fundamental drivers, Direxion Shares exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
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Direxion Shares Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  768.00  in Direxion Shares ETF on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  132.00  from holding Direxion Shares ETF or generate 17.19% return on investment over 90 days. Direxion Shares ETF is currently generating 0.3012% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.0306% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 27% of etfs are less volatile than Direxion, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Direxion Shares is expected to generate 3.97 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.97 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Direxion Shares Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Direxion Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.00 90 days 9.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Direxion Shares to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Direxion Shares ETF probability density function shows the probability of Direxion Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Direxion Shares ETF has a beta of -2.21. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Direxion Shares ETF are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Direxion Shares is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Direxion Shares ETF has an alpha of 0.582, implying that it can generate a 0.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Direxion Shares Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Direxion Shares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Direxion Shares ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.948.9712.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.078.1011.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Direxion Shares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Direxion Shares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Direxion Shares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Direxion Shares ETF.

Direxion Shares Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Direxion Shares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Direxion Shares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Direxion Shares ETF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Direxion Shares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Direxion Shares Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Direxion Shares for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Direxion Shares ETF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Direxion Shares ETF had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

About Direxion Shares Performance

By analyzing Direxion Shares' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Direxion Shares' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Direxion Shares has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Direxion Shares has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Direxion Shares is entity of United States. It is traded as Etf on NYSE ARCA exchange.
Direxion Shares ETF had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
When determining whether Direxion Shares ETF offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Direxion Shares' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Direxion Shares Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Direxion Shares Etf:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Direxion Shares ETF. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Direxion Shares ETF's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Direxion's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Direxion Shares' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Direxion Shares' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Direxion Shares' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Direxion Shares represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Direxion Shares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.